ERCOT anticipates having sufficient generation in the foreseeable future, based on normal operating conditions. However, if reserve margins do retract, ERCOT has a variety of operational tools to address scarcity conditions. The retirement of older generation followed by new investments is a natural behavior in the ERCOT market, and ERCOT does plan for, and expect, new generation coming online in the coming years.
As an explanation, ERCOT is expecting record-breaking peak usage this summer. To help with this demand, almost 3,800 MW of new generation resources began operating in 2017. However, the anticipated high demand combined with a decrease in overall projected generation capacity for summer 2018 is expected to result in tight reserves this summer.
ERCOT’s focus this summer will be on performance, and expects this will be the same for anyone participating in the ERCOT market. At this time, based on normal operating conditions, ERCOT anticipates there will be sufficient generation to meet demand.